Seismic risk and loss estimation for the building stock in Isfahan: part II—hazard analysis and risk assessment

The second part of a seismic risk assessment study for the Iranian city Isfahan is presented, focusing on description hazard, analysis, and discussion results. This utilizes building exposure model, fragility vulnerability curves illustrated in companion paper. earthquake occurrence source model adopted based EMME14 hazard study. site effects accounting soil nonlinear behavior are modeled by means Vs30 map derived from topographical slope. validity this tested local surface geology geotechnical reports. probabilistic maps different return periods that account generated compared with design spectra mandated national code. In addition, direct monetary human losses estimated two scenarios also 100- 475-year periods. We show loss curves, offering insights most vulnerable classes spatial distribution losses. results provide basis pre- post-disaster emergency planning, global urban as well conceiving adequate mitigation strategies including devising fair insurance policies. may serve blueprint carrying out similar work other areas Middle East.